September 28, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moon Gate Warrior | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Paddy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charging Lion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worth His Salt | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s My Uncle | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We B Jammin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Animal Trick | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mambo At the Gym | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discreetly Placed | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Now We Are Free | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gourmet Delight | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ring Necked | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Megacosm | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | It’s a Trend | 10.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Bobby the Brain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Do With Pride | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Morrison | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Successful Zip | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Tudor | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centerfoldprospect | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hardredcandy | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rhombus | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bunster | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good as Money | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Live Fast Brown | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mead Avenue | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Compounding | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Candy Store | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dtha Governors Day H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cordmaker | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tybalt | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flowers for Lisa | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clubman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Positivist | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pink Caddy | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Slick Chick | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broad Storm | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hufflepuff | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shatter Me | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steady Love | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mismeyet | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shimmering Aspen | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fillupcohensapiker | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Nekia | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Had the Notion | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Treasure | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buff’s in Love | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Odd Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – New Castle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Winplaceorshowono | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Threes Over Deuces | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Paul | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bronx Sandman | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – George Rosenberger Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pamina | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monkey Mind | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Play Me a Memory | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raining Lemons | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shifra Magician | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purrageous Dyna | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steelin Magnolias | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tightly Twisted | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broken English | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I’m Listening | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Queen Nekia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alydarius | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Shelby | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Candy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sight of Heaven | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heckler’s Veto | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pitching Ari | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Band On Tour | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pepper | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secure Connection | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Lightning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tonapita | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loa | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fine One Won | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gypsy Girl | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sniper Sis | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maliceinthepalace | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factorintheheat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Entrada | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Worstbestideaever | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Diva of Seville | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Melissani | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Risen Change | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cindy B | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wacca Wacca Wacca | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Baby Bam Bam | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Javoncia | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Steely Band | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Premier Justice | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Tricky Treat | 5.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Munro | 10.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Festive Lady | 5.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collinsavenue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7B | 7 | Little Ms Broadway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13B | 13 | Diamond News | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.