September 27, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Salute With Honor | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Grass Creek | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Bay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nipigon | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire for Effect | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canmore | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One for Nicki | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Sweets | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ailis | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance the Sky Away | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Along Dede | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magique | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light It Up | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rewrote | 8.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’ttouchmystuff | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Empire Angel | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tortuga | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baytown Milli | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Dragon | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laxmi | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shes the North | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Femme Soldat | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temple Moon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Rapid Beat | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sandretti | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Classic | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hidden Artifact | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Des Bois | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Zoomer Music | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lillz Not Crying | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hedeman | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Foxy B | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Down Below | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shelbourne | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Compensate | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Good Witch | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | L’Amour Toujours | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cat Rags | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Playing | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Shadows | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delightful Dreamer | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | R U Watchingbud | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Got It | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Young Lord | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Badjeros Boy | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Critic | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gaultier (FR) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Gizmo | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strut N Stomp | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gorgeous Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Follow My Lead | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Extreme | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timeskip | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbounded Spirit | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leonard’s Bay | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bens Last Call | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pay for Peace | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Silver | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolution | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Walkabout Creek | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ninth Symphony | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tobruk | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devil Magic | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cummings Road | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colleen’s Sailor | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be the Change | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yallhaveaniceday | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jurojin | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gimbala | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corky’s the Name | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blutarsky | 30.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.