September 27, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Harbour | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That Darling Devil | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guns Down | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Quest | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maryland Badboy | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Walk Away Joe | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Go With It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shes a True Beauty | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aikenetta | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Schmooze | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fed Up Fired Up | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Or Not | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Magician | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Woman | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brushing | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpstartmyheart | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Cadey | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Three Sided Story | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hedonism | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roma Delight | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Patriotic Punch | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bonkers | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beguiling | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Light | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reneesinheaven | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In a Hurry | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Circle | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Was Looking Up | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jara | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Amanite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zoysia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Top Line Growth | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tattooed | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Conflated | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aveenu Malcainu | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brighton Lane | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hydraulic | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Step | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cerulean Springs | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Awesome D J | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jefazo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fifteen Royals | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Point Beach | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoss Kitten | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Check | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moravian Prayer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheers N Applause | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wiggle and Jiggle | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Any Minute Now | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Irishtown | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Sweat | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Once in a Lifetime | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mine to Hold | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bahamian Prince | 0.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pataz | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indehere | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Perfect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | True Calling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Blue Sky Painter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rip Rap Riley | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Partisan Divide | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | San Marco | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Junior | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C M Runaway | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drosselmoon | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Campari | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tempted by Tito’s | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mabel’s Fable | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Rosie | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suzzette Star | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Odd Story | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can the Queen | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keepupthemessage | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Expect Talk | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buddha Kai | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Trouper | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pom Pom Girl | 50.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oddseverinurfavor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Silent Fluidity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sunday Red | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Molly’s Dolly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greely’s Striker | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wee Monie Creek | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Intrepid Forest | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Noise | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greasedlightning | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gingeresk | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tee Up | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Pic | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Route | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Fire | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sum Mo Cash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mamma Dee | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Hopes | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Aliphant | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neetee Rides Again | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Hattie | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arbutus | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost Scroll | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simmard Shenanigan | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Graveyard Shift | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Willow Go | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smokin Caraquena | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Degrees of Freedom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | True Yankee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.