Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 26, 2019

September 26, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Days of Spring 1.20 1.4 3-1
7 7 La Negrita 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Melisande 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Princess Fawzia 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wild North 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Launch Sequence 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Shine Like Bobby 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Inalienable Rights 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 3 Bustin Mach Four 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Laura’s Posse 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 4 Gyoza 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 All Clear 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bail Out 0.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Overbold 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Foti 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Donegal Aces 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Final Say 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bold Gem 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wisecrack 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Sobersick N Sorry 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Da Berg 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Freudian Sip 0.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 Talespin 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Apex Predator 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Martini Lane 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Blood Red Sky 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Business Cycle 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Variant Perception 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Stock Trade 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Soulmate 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Conforto 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Creative Style 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Ego 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Clyde’s Runner 4.00 5.3 10-1
7A 7 Inscom 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stunning Munnings 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Speed Talks 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kemba 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lookn Fine as Wine 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Little Farina 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Spanish Point 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Our Lady of Loreto 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Cherokee Song 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Dream Passage 0.60 2.3 4-1
7 5 Rosebud’s Hope 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Proud O’Paddy 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 Out of Trouble 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Daria’s Angel 1.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Free Kitty 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Tanya’s Gem 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 No Regrets 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Coral Legacy 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Phone Funky Munky 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Fotis 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 7 Shiny Copper Penny 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Risky Sour 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Spectator Sport 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ninja Dust 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 8 Scrutinize 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Time Expired 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Fleet Admiral 15.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.