September 25, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Forester | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Occasional View | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hitters Park | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiricahua Signal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tishina | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riker | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Anthony | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Ronin | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mick the Conqueror | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slam | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Therealquaff | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Night | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hythe | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coolshade | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Piccadilly Beau | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Darren’s Fortune | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailin Street | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victorious Bear | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flo’s Syd | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Sentence | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charles Street | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Cantata | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hailey’s Prize | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louise the Laser | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Priceless | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly Stormy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jaya Ho | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Connection | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gwendoline H | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Where’s the Widget | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Eight | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Almasty | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Uproar | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surgical Strike | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lapochka | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King and His Court | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Black Sea (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | He’s Bankable | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | H. M. S. Pinafore | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Seeker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desdemona | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special for You | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sothatsthewayitis | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maritimeconnection | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Falcon’s View | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Danielle | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready and Willing | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lillz So Precious | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nana’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eli’s Fortune | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’s Soul | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palgrave Lady | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Add D. | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take It Easy | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farfalla | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Sage | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Over Victoria | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Gold | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Somersby | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kewanne | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blonde Attitude | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J M R Bold Vision | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Double Crossed | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conflation | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.