September 25, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fiamma Mamma | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Gardner | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teacher Drama | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dawn | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like Indy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blossom Bow | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mad About Madness | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Soprano | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Night Watch | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Helen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Tap | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feature Creature | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Janet B Doesit All | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yako | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Henny’s Treasure | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mary Lee and Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Valley Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pippas Poppy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Totono | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grisaceo | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oskar Blues | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pirate’s Treasure | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talkothtown | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Point | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tizzire | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savannah Grass | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twice as Magical | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncommon Factor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Noy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cookie Cove | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warm Summer Wind | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Lily Lou | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katniss Kan | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dizzy Gillespie | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie the Greek | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | To Dare | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Whammy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Spice | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Chaplin | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invasors Wind | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gran Letizia | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freckles Kan | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glory Roll | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Magic | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Maiara | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Two | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rachel’s Smokin | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitaemi | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thanks Mom | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barry Karafin Bets | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trappezoid | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Grace | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Combination | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noon Time Gem | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zorb | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Avenida Manana | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Gaby | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party Dancer | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Early Time (FR) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Intricately | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Zodiac Princess | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blues Songs | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Handsome Girl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glovanna | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dudicious | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Horizen | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Slick Fact | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Britesideoftheroad | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.