September 25, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | R Sweet Exchange | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Tough Angel | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bagels and Lox | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Given Achance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trappe Play | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | E Lizzy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malandrina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hand Full | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justin Front | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock Like Julio | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Tell Deb | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stars in the Park | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iambutter | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lippi Lorenzo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Counselor | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Made It | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Baytown Glory | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unclenedwhodrank | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quickhatch | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pure Style | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Equus Novus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Maurice | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Reversal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Purrs Again | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lambano | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capable Man | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fellow | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancer’s Kin | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prospect for Gold | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fire Ant | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Virginialovers | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Im Poppas Favorite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neva’s Gal | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Traffic | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Esterina | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rattle the Stars | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stakes On a Plane | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Prosperity | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Meo Desperado | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hoskins | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Early Retirement | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Anxious | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Joey Gotcha | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Quick Man | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Honor No Deal | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Pappa Rox | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Sambook | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunni Blaze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Double Luck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Math Major | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tusk | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foldover | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Fly E Dubai | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Playing Hooky | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Action Everyday | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hills Pond | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frio Factor | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ready Prospector | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Bull Addiction | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unrideabull | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bronx Sandman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chasing the Candy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orbidore | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runner Runner Indy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fear None | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sergeant Azer | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Manley Cross | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stylemeister | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stash My Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.