September 25, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | J J Jen | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Lady Macho | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Stunning Beauty | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Funderella | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Irish Banker | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Anydayisherday | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Fallinginloveagain | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Purchasing Power | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Lucky Bet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Coach Villa | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Curlin’s Knight | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Run for Boston | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Inclunation | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Ragtime Suzy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Eight Oaks | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Ma Meatloaf | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Prairie Fire | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Can U Handle This | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | G. T. Sonia | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Party in the Sand | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Free Enterprise | 0.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Somes Sound | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Kid Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Coolboy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Cobble Hill | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Curlin Road | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Mills | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Neighborhood Bully | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Playthatfunnymusic | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Halloween Horror | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Shalako | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Artemus Bridge | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Tricky Magician | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Thousand Percent | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Spinning Kitten | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Honorable Hero | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | My Amanjena | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Impazible Odds | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Tangled Web | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Leaky Cup | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Binkster | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Sudden Surprise | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Manifest Destiny | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Gypsum Johnny | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Kosciuszko | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Mz Seb Pat | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Kathy’s Cause | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
11 | 10 | Abby Normal | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
12 | 11 | Rare Gift | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tarallucci | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Magical Romance | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kitty Therapy | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Miss Ross | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
9A | 8 | Plimsoll Anny | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
10 | 9 | La Bella Chica | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | That Is Key | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
13A | 13 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.