September 22, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bragging Rights | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empress of Lov | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Krishna | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Kisses | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Be Held | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discrete Stevie B | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Musically | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gracie’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Akuba | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vannavanna Bo Bana | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Sunset | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Goddess | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brewski | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Herunbridledpower | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Sunset | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blew by You | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mama’s Kid | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magicalchic | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scott’s Best Beth | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Luv Is All U Need | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promnesia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Desert General | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kenny Benny | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Boy Howdy | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Burn Me Twice | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Nap Lajoie | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Hit Play | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rocky’s Show | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quantum Force | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reign On (GB) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Encounter | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Bouchon | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yodelers Way | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hesa Ranegade | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All About Trump | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steven Decatur | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Caballero | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Towards the Light | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Just Bob | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Satrapa | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Sky | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shaymin | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prayer Warrior | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morton Glory | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Show | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Royal Blue Grass | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | White Russian | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortnite Dance | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Wally | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contratto | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Sammy Go | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icouldonlyimagine | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Champion Deputy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amped | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emotional Wreck | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bachchan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bob Again | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | G Q Covergirl | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Toffee | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rockin Ready | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donut Girl | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reflect | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Trouble Maker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Creative Instinct | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goldie’s Hills | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satchel Paige | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jetovator | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Claim of Passion | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger Strike | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizmywishcometrue | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spendaholic | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conte Cavour | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ziyanair | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | You’reright Again | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mobjack | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hapi Hapi | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isla’s Toy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Govenor Cinch | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seesawsam | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Socks | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tengas Masterpiece | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pivo | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coastline Sermon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | El Chapin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.