September 21, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gray Phantom | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Knights | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin At Bravo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Namarunu (GER) | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Extension | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Backed | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freitag | 2.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Song for Artie | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nonplusultra | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pink Lemonade | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Wedding | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steel Wool | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bob W. | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Bar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Constantino | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perlarana | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get’erdonebud | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milwaukee Magic | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Contempt | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Front Nine | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Freak | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat Zapper | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Anthony | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Madam | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slydini | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frost Dance | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swilling | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariposa Belle | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gloriannia | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Fever | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rideforthecause | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Flight | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maritime Breeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Critic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Google It | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final Strike | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obliviously | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breed’s Hill | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Revenge | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Time Gizmo | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost Island | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Byebye Byebye | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dad’s Missy | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taravila | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senorita Uno | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shotnabeer | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mac | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Act | 10.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Krz Society | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natural Habitat | 6.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Seen | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pressure Front | 12.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Eyes Touched | 10.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Addi Bear | 30.00 | 17.7 | 33-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Invodkawetrust | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Victorian Queen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Dream | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | West Paw | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Owlette | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wake Up Maggie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bambarra Bay | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victorian Moon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Society | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuscan Damsel | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sterling Speed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bold Rally | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Camp Creek | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Auntie Katherine | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sine Metu | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zephan | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Illusion | 3.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prideofdistinction | 10.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Halo | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Highway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dahog | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sweet Briar Too S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katie Baby | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Peacock | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Gal Betty | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Hill | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Relativity | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cypress Park | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now Play Nice | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Killag Katie | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jean Elizabeth | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Madison Way | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzona | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Westlodge Intrigue | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Explosion | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Figura | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Go Go Jak | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modus Operandi | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Congeniality | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Touch of Emma | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burbank Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corduroy Road | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheek to Cheek | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Town Cruise | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Analyzer | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desolator | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wedgewood | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krachenwagen | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drena’s Bullet | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mambointheforest | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.