September 21, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rosa Star | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tell Me Maux | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allez Allez | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapizar Girl | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boastful Contessa | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caspian Tale | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kylesnorthernstar | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Dudes | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Bill | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Island Commish | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iberico | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Be Honest | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travelin Gambler | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khozan’s Valentine | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Beast | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Gem Apple | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Chapman | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Langue Liee | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballie’s Dream | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Lily | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizbud She Wants | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlieanna | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kantharos’ Image | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frenchmen Street | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cryogenic | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sublime Appeal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | R Boy Bode | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elzabe’s On Board | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reggae Pirate | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apache Brave | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Company Store | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Purple Girl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Only in August | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sizzling Roma | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa’s Girl | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Welly | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treasured Info | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Momma Tries | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gran Diamond | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anjali | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghaisweetheart | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chantilly Lilly | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kanholdherwine | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Bobtail | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wine Bottle | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victoria’s Smile | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reconsider It | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bubbly | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lisa Mila | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Bride | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Belen | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Money | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tangled Tale | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matinee Girl | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Not Another | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soy Celeste | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Lee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Causalistic | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tovar Y Tovar | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kokokomo | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m More Ready | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Violent Impact | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maker of an Empire | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rodeo Red | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vintage Kitten | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Rate | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tone Feelin | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Alejandro’s Team | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Storm Risk | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Militarist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Point Winner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gemo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Factorino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lamborghini | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nothins Free | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen Roller | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tuesday’s Rose | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Three Illusions | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosepath | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Witch | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chief Inca | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Milbra | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bear’s Den S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jackson | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art G Is Back | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Mo | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scraps | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lahinch | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reward the Miracle | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Union’s Destiny | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timmy M. | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stirling Drive | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Evil Eye | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Warrior | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Champagneonme | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Take Command | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | First and Three | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Arrivederla | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vinnie Van Go | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Followhisfootsteps | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Why Trust | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rayo My King | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chase Runner | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gettinintomischief | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Nifty | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Transit | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mi Cuaima | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Samurai’sfirstlady | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Courtesy Notice | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Beach Dreaming | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hannah Catherine | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madison Blues | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cotton Tooyah | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Reagan’s Odyssey | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Little Princess | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Gal Lollipop | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dramamina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Galileo’s Affair | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.