September 20, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Masquerade | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sav | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katla’s Fury | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moksgmol | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leon Azul | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asha Ironborn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rexdale | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Entropy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Destiny | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willy’s Castle | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greenfield | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Night Watchman | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish River | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tinker Ring | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Heart Rush | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prized Connection | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Express Banking | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sea Sparkle | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mystery Day | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khawlah | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pirano | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Sails | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Riot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roche’s Point | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Systemic Risk | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Mrs. G | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appella | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lenches Gimme | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coolwater | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Queen’s Court | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spanish Ballerina | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Charm | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fullthrottleangel | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hush Buffy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Romantic Bliss | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Nina | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giovanna Ponti | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tallievision | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Bow | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Forester | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Have Feelings | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corey’s Best | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liddyup | 2.50 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stella Ella Ola | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dreamin On a Cloud | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Jazz | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quietly Quick | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victorian Lass | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unclaimedtreasure | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Mysterious | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bernotchie | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ojiisan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poquito Bandito | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Timing | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arnie the King | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zoomer Music | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lauderdale | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Major Kelly | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | We Take Checks | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rebellion’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wincredible Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forest At Dawn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marvel | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bayleaf | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Klassy Delight | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’s Mulligan | 3.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trickeration | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost a Sock | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wind Spun | 4.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadcasting | 3.50 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vickie’s Ransome | 20.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.