September 20, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Handfull | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alphabetting | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Towson | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majorie Mugs | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weekend Flyer | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Do Good | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kim’s Pet | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three to Get Ready | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reform School | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Gary | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesawithme | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Courageous | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paisley Singing | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confusion Baby Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Got a Rock | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pool Winner | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joseph | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Skole | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coop Tries Harder | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lost in Limbo | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jammer | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Celebration (GB) | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uplifting | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sir Orinoco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shane’s Jewel | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Battlebus | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Godlovesasinner | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lime House Louie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cabinet Pik | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Somekindofmagician | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Railmaster | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where You Was | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Homeofthe Lombardi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Onemoregreattime | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hargus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Jag | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Thoughts | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guilty | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D W Fitz | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maryland Bandit | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bricktop | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sudden Breeze | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kunal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ummu Ummu Ummu | 1.20 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Odds R Against Us | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creepy the Crab | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stacksdenero | 1.60 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liar | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louis Treize | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luv the Painter | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baltimore Blues | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trump Change | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ying Yue | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuffgirlsdontcry | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberale (FR) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Flare | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Windixiewin | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcattin | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rumor Ridge | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blameitonthekiss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey and You | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prevail Upon | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laddie Liam | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super E | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Distilled Spirit | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deshackled | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McElmore Avenue | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pardon the Pun | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nextstop Pokipc | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Queena Esther | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Pic | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grecian Dancer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dear Charlotte | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Letmeslidebyyou | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boom Boom Gone | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Fire | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Postino’s Secret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Radar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.