September 20, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Camorra | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble for Skylar | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ardara Belle (FR) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evan’s Nice Now | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tayler’s the Boss | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sunday | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Me Roses | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Honey Graeme | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Archumybaby | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shimmering Moon | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Flash | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Janie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letmetakethiscall | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blissful Breeze | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bertram F. Bongard S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | City Man | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Jokers | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theitalianamerican | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cleon Jones | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonachie | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | Science Fiction | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Restructure | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Forgotten Hero | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Jimi Bags | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Getmotherarose | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Zalia | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Ebullient | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violencia | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Slimey | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Carrizo | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Brass Ring | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | No Deal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Aquaphobia | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Friend | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hay Dakota | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Covey | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mo Maverick | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C C Rider | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leitone (CHI) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ninety One Assault | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westerland (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mai Ty One On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Super Dude | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charreada | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Flag | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bell Court | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comic | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lifetime Memory | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happyandiknowit | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap to My Lu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noble Indy | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemonist | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Projected (GB) | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lunaire | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devamani (FR) | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Have At It | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamax Prime | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Shandian | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stanhope | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Lorenzen | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13A | 11 | Lord Camden | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dante’s Fire | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperio D | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Emotion | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince of Pharoahs | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brunate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brickyard | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Smite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Scilly Cay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unrelenting Force | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.