September 19, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Licorice | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Another Softball | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’ttakeitwithyou | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thorpe d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Dancer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Dewey | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dragon Moon | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ed’s Dog | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Looking for More | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dillon’s Kitty | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaufy Futures | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aurora Nation | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Step Beat | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koa Kani | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tell Me a Story | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slot Receiver | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempter | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takedown | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamy Martini | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avast Matey | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Composition | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret O’Life | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tropicality | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Princess | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Learn Story (DOM) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dubaian | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Courageous | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its About Me | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Treasure | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lailoni | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Assume Control | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Shuddawuddacudda | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taylorsinitiation | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Redbulletwarrior | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just for Chuckles | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Toms Chuchu | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tommy Tuesday | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prolific Runner | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Justcallmenorman | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robintakincharge | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mantra | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Phil | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unionizer | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shazier | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mozo Bello | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Us | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soul Kitten | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R Mercedes Boy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Buddy’s Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Sweden | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hechizada | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Espiritu de Luna | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bion Magic | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Thunder | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Petition | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kozy Kat | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Brienne | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delia’s Pride | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bosworthy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Luvy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pillango | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Venezuelan Forever | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsherluckyday | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Nina | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cassidy’s Smile | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faithful Sue | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dizzy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hera | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sighted | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gemologister | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Pepper | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nairobi | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eclipsed Moon | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fourth Design | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asked and Answered | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Karenina | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Beating the Odds | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lillie’s Heat | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Romance | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tennessee Cotton | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Gussie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Mi Karlita | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sheila | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spiced Rum Punch | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River of Fire | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Trading Cents | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Franciscan | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Little Rosy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blazing Brooke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Charge It Jenn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rucia Mora | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.