September 18, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Born to Be King | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keen Artie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skipped Him | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Native Prince | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bokermin | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Cloister | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bread Crumbs | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Vinnie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sailing By | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Daddy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Girasol | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windjammer (GER) | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Look Incredible | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make No Mistake | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tara Dawn | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Text Me Up | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | November Fog | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stellatara | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo’s Princess | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kissy Bear | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miriam’s Sky | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frankie Barone | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Brew | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginger Sky | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of York | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robusto | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ingordwetrust | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stopvictimizingme | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Butilovesyababe | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Areocentric | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sevencomingout | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Blind | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s the Gold | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Cat Sam | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dolly Dagger | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Brynlie | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lisa’s Escarpment | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adopted Family | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leroids Mommie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Brie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misguided Passion | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Hambone | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic Force | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Journey | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Fire | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play On Sterling | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Executive Retreat | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Ride | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dilly Dally Darby | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hansen’s Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snell Flicka | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bel Ayr Bay | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hockey Hair | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Geocentric | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light My Path | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capture Your Heart | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opeongo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.