September 18, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – William Entenmann Memorial Hurdle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Snap Decision | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sportswear (GB) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City Dreamer (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cracker Factory (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Veneer of Charm (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch My Boy (GB) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Justice (GB) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teodoro (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blues City | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Phil | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Katama Bay | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | O’Bushido | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liveyourbeastlife | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninth of April | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tipazo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John Want Revenge | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Living | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Off Topic | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Aubrey | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth With a Kick | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cottonwood Falls | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brucia La Terra | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Morissette | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Golconda (FR) | 1.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Queen Kahen | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Moyne Spun | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Factoring | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amanda Lane | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tappanzee | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trouble for Skylar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ardara Belle (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Klickitat | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waynes Footsteps | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Out East | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Boar | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Front | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risp | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Jazz | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Now | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Mission | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crack Shot | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Outlaws | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystical Song | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riken | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Constant Knight | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Remstin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fierce Lady | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Limit | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Danzing | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thea’s Theme | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naked Avenger | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ilchester Cheetah | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 3 | Justintimeforwine | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fame to Famous | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Constitutional Pal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Get Smokin | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | It’s Pazible | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nexus | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Like You | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | King of American | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Danzing Dunhill | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Legacy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Theitalianamerican | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.