September 17, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Comfortably Cool | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ink Splotz | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diagonal | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Built Better | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Air Quality | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pennsylvania Steel | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Untangled Truth | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lt. Columbo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hatteras Bound | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Officer | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Fleet | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gorsuch | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glass Bridge | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Howboutdempats | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Informality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Iwishirish | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Bounty | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Mz Adah | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marnesia Big Girl | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Running Free | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Cool Cat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Helicity | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Getaway | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C’s Freedom | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Hearted Cat | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheza Wild Girleo | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Symphony of Love | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allegretto | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Tough | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willed | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Adulation | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bridget’s Big Luvy | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fara’s Kid | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fifty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jack O Liam | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Student Union | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | King’s House | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Diamond Square | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | No More Strippers | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Recanted | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Kingslayer | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Methodical | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Attuck | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruckus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Obviously Dramatic | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rebel Traveller | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bickley | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E T’s Black Gold | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe the Boss | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Upgrade | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Boss | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not in the Mood | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last Great | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Point Lockout | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapete Claire | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Caoimhe | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risque Express | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Mark | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mass Appeal | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don Polo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five More Minutes | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Flashy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacrificing It All | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deerstalker | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Town of Towns | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Controlled Fury | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenyan | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vow’s Son | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rings of Jupiter | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Butch Cassidy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salutation | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slot | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fed Fever | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kid Mac Cool | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sidewalk Prophet | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drummer Don | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Army Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vocab | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.