September 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Johnny Ritt | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Irish Paul | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cantstoprunning | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Hibachi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Ronin Warrior | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Chase | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Talented Son | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Jayjaydee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Areni | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Vale | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congaree Rose | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deserted | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victoria E | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion and the Wolf | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bust Out Lady | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Chance | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nurse Betty | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Javoncia | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Supporter | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Light of Hope | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cloontia | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trilogy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Year of the Kitten | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | County Corrections | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Secret | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backstretch George | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mind Magic | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Shoeless | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charming Indy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Setter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Run for James | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Royal Crusader | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gilded Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You’re No Saint | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Watch My Dust | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Roma | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Don Camillo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alaapatique | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dunk a Din | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Klaatu | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emoticon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theyallcomehome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Army Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mantle | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatexcel | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Wisdom | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tu Exageres | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pellagrino | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Style | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Incidentally | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prep Pride | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tew Ways | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairly Bold | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | To the Flag | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lendar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Annika Gold | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gateau St Honore | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Krissys Manicure | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Her Divineness | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dean’s Ticket | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heatherly | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berberslilbriebrie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seven Gems | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hieroglyphics | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mutaraabit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Equality | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Star Sign | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atta Kid | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Semi Excited | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Koan | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Charmn Charlie Ray | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legacy’s Prince | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raggy Rocks | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shore Bet | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lawyer Roy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Louie’s Wish | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbonatboylesbar | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Olympus | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fontana Di Oro | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet He Canhula | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finn’s Posse | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snoopy’s Bid | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.