September 16, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Cowboy | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We B Jammin | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zitman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Emperor | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Two a T | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Earned It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s My Uncle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flying Bankroll | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Delight | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noontime Salsa | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jacks City | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purrs Well | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Village Prince | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Defend the Bay | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Credit Cycle | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thumbprint | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | I’m Listening | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Atlas | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Neyami | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Free to Fly | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Dynamite | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Line of Music | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Tap Dance Star | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For Kicks | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stated | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Port Salerno | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Gospel of John | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Suade Guitar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alexa Rose | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viradia | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Giumarello | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jost Sayin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mija Bella | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Avocado | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Broken English | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dilly Does It | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backyard Fun | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just a Whim | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Soldat House | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Degrees of Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Indian Myth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Loyal Aficionada | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smoochin Candy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helen’s Pitch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Concordia’s Way | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Off Duty | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Bond | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Bear | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipit | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Front | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Fathoms | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Rover | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Shiner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Small Giant | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jermyn Street | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Talkless Smilemore | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | G Q Girl | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shes Dynomite | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R U Happy Now | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Robin’s Destiny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I Dream of Lois | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Billyscrystalball | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Important | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cosita Rica | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Digital Diva | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Revolving Love | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Along Came Betty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Stylish Ninetynine | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Be Bop a Lola | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bourbon Style | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Steady Love | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Petes Pride | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ruby’s Rush | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Worstbestideaever | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steely Band | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Princess Anne | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROYALLY BRED | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | LAZUR HESS | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 7 | COLORS IN MOTION | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | BELLFASTT | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | MIZZDORA | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | DAHESSTINY MC | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | BURN NOTICE MC | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.