September 15, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marten Lake | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Nicola Thunder | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Sting | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Express | 1.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Corfu | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Brother | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Smart | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brass Compass | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Stonehenge | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hold’emforransom | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Fly Over | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Western Trouble | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fantastic Breeze | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muskoka Giant | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Thunder | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frac Attack | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka Gold | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indica | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hostile Witness | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Resurgent | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Deed’s Legacy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tallulah Darling | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bridlewise | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roansmoke | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Bad Girl | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Emily | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jupiter’s Eagle | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Rouge | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilburnrubber | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You Cant Catch Her | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Just Bling It | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo in the Forest | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Delly | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Artie My Boy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bazoo | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Have a Souper Day | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corsi | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Animal Krackers | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Inclusive | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tomcat Black | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celebratory | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Town | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ontario Racing S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clear Destination | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barilko | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldmine Cat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Chestnut | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divided Sky (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aye Aye Sir | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Understanding | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chaos Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pleasecallmeback | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keep On Truckin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoological | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proven Strategies | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Lancelot | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cucina | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitalogy (GB) | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decorated Invader | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Talking | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cadet Connelly | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Stash (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hold the Applause | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Diamond | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roman d’Oro | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Speed | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossalina | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Fortune | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pipestone | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mission City Girl | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dont Get Smart | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Natalma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Abscond | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runway Dreamer | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Sparkles | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Maiden | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Secret Stash (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Lori | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Joy’s Solution | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Garter | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Faith Over Fear | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Marwoods War | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Souper Pecan | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sans Doubte | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fullthrottlevision | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Charm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Appella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Woodbine Cares S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Scene | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Humor | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayerly Seen | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Avie’s Samurai | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Heat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fatima | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lucy (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Egyptian Nights | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Good Witch | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laxmi | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Doughnut | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nite Brite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.