September 15, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Probable | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cali Rocks | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chic Clementine | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lala Fleur | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Darpa | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Objective | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gold Included | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Samurai Charm | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | White Velvet | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Going to Vegas | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trouville | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady On Ice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Hero | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyson | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Classic | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ohtani | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Storm | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocko’s Wheel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellerin | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tough It Out | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wilshire Dude | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Original Intent | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catoca | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Qafilah (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Peridot | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chickatini | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Still a Funny Girl | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Eclipse | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Acker | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zestful | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Beam | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Getaway | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meistermind | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Blew by You | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forty Six Carats | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Joe’s Passion | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secret Maneuver | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Discrete Stevie B | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Kathy | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Pass | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bennet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Fire | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solar Nation | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Totally Tiger | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Chapin | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overkoter | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Successful Command | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shinny | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curry Flurry | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daring Ways | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mobjack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Competing | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin My Mojo | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johann’s Command | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Encounter | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain N. Barron | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angry Bobby | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Come Home | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All About Trump | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune of War (GB) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.