September 14, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fly Valiantly | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Going to B Valiant | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzing Joanna | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Wood Be a Diva | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mjb Firefly | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Smokin You | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shakem Country Chick | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bodacious Leader | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Magic Jessica | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make This My Favorit | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trs Amazing Oxana | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kt Chics Gray Lady | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Its Big Pappa to You | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cowgirlsrunningrebel | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Majestic Eagle | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aubreys Dream | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ez Nine | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Me Ta Church | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancey Blue | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Adequan Prairie Meadows Derby Challenge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Apollitical Mogul | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Time to Fly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Wagon P | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mansory | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maghelene | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bhr Flashing Effort | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thisbetterwork | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First High Rate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wonderland | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Cookie Cartel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Arc Prairie Meadows Distaff Challenge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Weetonas Lafawn | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Painted Dynasty | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ima Dashin Follie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Lady Wagon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fosse | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Another Overdraft | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty and Big | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – John Deere Prairie Meadows Juvenile Challenge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Divas First Moon | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Wild Time | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Moon Fling | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Famous Blue | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peves Eagleetta | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baja Bandito | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kina Big Deal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Candy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fastest Leader | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anthropologi | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bank Of America Prairie Meadows Championship Challenge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pyc Jess Bite Mydust | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Damn Strait | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paint My Pilot | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Faster Than Hasta | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Olives N Smoke | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Shot | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynasty Ice 123 | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Political Candy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marfilmio | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pollitical Form | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apolitically Quick | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Paint | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valiant Redrunner | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Prize List | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Mo Water | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Myownersbroke | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Df Moonflash Babe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.