September 13, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Massey Hall | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Connor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cindervella | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Miami | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chestermere | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Groundhog Day | 2.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adelle’s Princess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Identity | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harper P M | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sent From Heaven | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vaughan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subliminal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Count Forest | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Travolta | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pineda | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colby Ol’ Fashion | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cummings Road | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colleen’s Sailor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dani’s Victory | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get’erdonebud | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Virga | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nupogodi | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ethanol | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Scat Big Dad | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daymare | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toxicologist | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eboracum | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Nero | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marcus | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Luck Charlie | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Treasure | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boomba Brad | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Veil | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blurricane | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sanity | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Reward | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Memory (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Above All Names | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Nile | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keep Going | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Des Bois | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Worker | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Victorious Bear | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardy Candy | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Rocket Man | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dave the Dude | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cauldron | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Final Turn | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Chiamo Stefano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Constantino | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Fever | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Majestic Slew | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Slip Kid | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | R U Watchingbud | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forester’s Forum | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gator Spy | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Selling Out | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grom | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Fly Over | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Marten River | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.