September 13, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Desire | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Brite Eye | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laker Jet | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Empress | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Claudelle | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Busy Paynter | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thought I’dmissyou | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buyback | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Cynn | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Storm | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Equity | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Dandy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cabin John | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Implicitly | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eclair | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Big Blue Nation | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Heaven | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bye Bye Beautiful | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charging Home | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Well Done Sally | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Loves Karaoke | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Melodie | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Agatha | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Git On Your Pulpit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Norski | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Five | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rineshaft | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alvaaro | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Son of a Queen | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zorich | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artistic Diva | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Tigress | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Dance | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tip Top Gal | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kim K | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Restless Rambler | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aced | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Heartfullofstars | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Incensed | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Toothless Wonder | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatsittoya | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Emtech | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Candy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tengs Wonder | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millie Joel | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Time for Kisses | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xerneas | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Panshir | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scott’s Best Beth | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Asem | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | California Appeal | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mergie Troid | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copper Cowgirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.