September 13, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Pirate | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Donna G | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Rock Star | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Life Cider | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reneesinheaven | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessingsofliberty | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saar’s Image | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Festive Lady | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Girl | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Fawzia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Patriotic Punch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Feelin Foxie | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Or Not | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Music Maker | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emelina | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capucine | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fed Up Fired Up | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lill Mave | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Rose for Lizzy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Princess | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Pic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nana’s Shoes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beyond Forever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cosita Rica | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Aja Brown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dreaming of Love | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Not Tapit | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Justinthenickotime | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Poser | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Gary | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Hero | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can Do Too | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warehouse | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Kid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pardon the Pun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Laddie Liam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zitarrosa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Artist | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | McPherson | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Much Data | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time Flies By | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geyser | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Maquina Gris | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Follow the Signs | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benevolent Prince | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Clay Road | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unequivocal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Doctor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Excelisberg | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rhombus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zorally | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Deceit | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Off My Stage | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady by Choice | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Athens Queen | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anazara | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bethabara | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Wind | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sevilla Sangria | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maybe an Omen | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin Dynamic | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Treat | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calypso Ghost | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toogoodoo | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steady Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wiggle and Jiggle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pantyhose | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My T Talk | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fanniebellefleming | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Pitch | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creedibility | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pearl Gem | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquest See Ya | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lion Lord | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Lion | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not a Chance | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hurler | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Stroll | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greely Is Back | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Ain’t Never | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miners Quest | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delta Outlaw | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brockmoninoff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bust Another | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Cowboy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Scout’s Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aktabantay (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Call Wil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s Divine | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gennie Highway | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shake D Moon | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dynamic Miss | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Song | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tilaka | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heavenly Hattie | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Words of a Feather | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Instinctive | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reina La Kelsy | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweeping In | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.