Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 11, 2019

September 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Samurai Queen 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 She’s Proud 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Call Her Joey 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Intermittent 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Alternative View 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Timberlea 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Post to Post 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Court Return 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Take It Easy 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Adabel 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Jezebel Jones 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Cheekylicious 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Echo Location 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Shishka 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 D’s Soul 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Super Patriotic 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Monastery Lane 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Royal Mandate 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 It’s Vengeance 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Systemic Risk 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sister Grace 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Baby Luna 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Encierro 1.60 3.4 6-1
8 8 Red Bo 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Theregoesjojo 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Rising Star 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dixie Highway 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 English Classic 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Dahog 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Twentytwentycrest 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cefalo 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Elite Song 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Onezy’s Dream 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sea Lily 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Well You Know 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Toy Show 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Wassup Buttercup 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gelato Amore 1.40 1.6 3-1
6 6 Victorian Moon 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Cedar Valley 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Flatoutonamission 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Diamondsinhereyes 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Royal Screen 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Justcall Me Candy 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Senorita Uno 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bee Keeper 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Dancing Derek 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Standing Reserve 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Gideon’s Sword 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Decisive Victory 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 White Sage 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Our Zuma 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pugsley 1.80 2.4 5-1
4 4 Bear At Last 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Love That Lute 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Party At Eight 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Decision Day 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Spanish River 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Arthur’s Pass 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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