September 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Samurai Queen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Proud | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Her Joey | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Intermittent | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alternative View | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Timberlea | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Post to Post | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Court Return | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Take It Easy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adabel | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jezebel Jones | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheekylicious | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Location | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shishka | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’s Soul | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Super Patriotic | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monastery Lane | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Mandate | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Vengeance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Systemic Risk | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Grace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Baby Luna | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Encierro | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Bo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theregoesjojo | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rising Star | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Highway | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | English Classic | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dahog | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twentytwentycrest | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cefalo | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elite Song | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Lily | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Well You Know | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toy Show | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wassup Buttercup | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gelato Amore | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victorian Moon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cedar Valley | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flatoutonamission | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamondsinhereyes | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Screen | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justcall Me Candy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senorita Uno | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bee Keeper | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Derek | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standing Reserve | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gideon’s Sword | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Decisive Victory | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | White Sage | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Zuma | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pugsley | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bear At Last | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love That Lute | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party At Eight | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decision Day | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish River | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arthur’s Pass | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.