Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 11, 2019

September 11, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rock Solid Golfer 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Enough Is Enough 1.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Judah 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Argentic (FR) 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 J P Hellish 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Jump Street Hero 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Early Retirement 1.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Awesome Romeo 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tom Terrific 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Death Dealer 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Disco Volente 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dancer’s Kin 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Inchesky (IRE) 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Math Major 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 Diplodocus 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Animal Kingston 4.00 4 8-1
5 4 Last Chukker 12.00 5.2 10-1
8A 6 Jingle Bells 12.00 8.7 16-1
9 7 David’s Slingshot 12.00 8.7 16-1
3A 3 Pure Magic 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Code Name Brody 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Band On Tour 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Imaginethejoy 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Muhlenberg 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Please the Court 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Palvera 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Don’t Tell Deb 3.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Not Necessarily 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Centerfoldprospect 4.50 3.4 6-1
10 8 Barrel of Stout 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Zumbya 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Red Roman 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Dispel 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Brilliant Worth 20.00 6 11-1
9 7 Sweet Santa 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Purrs Well 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Second Encore 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Graze of Glory 1.40 2.2 4-1
5 5 Celtic Treasure 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Subdued 1.60 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ego Trip 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Mr Chocolate Chip 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Can’t Pass It Up 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Pride of Wilko 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Ivanya 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tex Mee a Kiss 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lovely Sunset 2.50 4 7-1
1 1 Speeding Starlet 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 6 I Dream of Lois 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 7 Don’t Charge It 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 G Q Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gibby 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 It’s a Shaw Thing 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Caught Up in You 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Zira 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Barb’s Gray Girl 0.00 3.9 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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