Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 11, 2019

September 11, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ox Bridge 1.60 1.8 3-1
6A 6 Basie 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Ajaaweed 3.50 2.8 5-1
7A 7 Brewmeister 1.80 3 6-1
1 1 Abrupt 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Forza Di Oro 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Starting Over 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Corot 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Gins and Tins 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Another 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Blessed Halo 2.50 4.3 8-1
10 8 Remstin 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Elenzee 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Zap Daddy 2.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fayette Warrior 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Latin Love Bug 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dooley 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Lookbothways 3.00 2.3 4-1
4A 4 Tannuzzo 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Annette’s Humor 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Wailin Josie 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Two Graces 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Appletini 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Irish Banker 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Tarallucci 4.50 SCRATCH
9 8 Funderella 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Elizabeth Nicole 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tiz R Bella 1.20 SCRATCH
5A 4 Reata’s Reward 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Parlapiano 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Letmetakethiscall 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Karen’s Gem 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Zecha 12.00 4.5 9-1
7A 6 Midnitesalright 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Zandora 3.50 3 6-1
5 4 Moyne Spun 1.40 3.2 6-1
4 3 Alley to Calvary 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Ascender 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 G. T. Sonia 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Caralicious 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Solitary Gem 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 True Prosperity 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Fairy Link 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ratajkowski 1.20 1.6 3-1
4 4 Might Be 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Bangle Gal 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Cartwheel 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Maiden Beauty 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Beyond Discreet 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fierce Scarlett 0.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Xanthique 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Chasing the Kitty 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Nay Lady Nay (IRE) 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Figure It Out 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sorrentina Lemon 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ever Changing 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Paradiso 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 The Great Johanna 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sterling Beauty 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Blame It On Mom 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Petalite 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Marquet Legacy 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Tatterazzi 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Amos 20.00 6.9 13-1
15 15 Freddymo Factor 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Two Cent Tootsie 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Sandra’s Mine 5.00 7.8 15-1
16 16 Winifred J 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Go Zappem 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dancing Slippers 30.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Double Happiness 15.00 10.6 20-1
14 14 Renninas Rose 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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