September 11, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ox Bridge | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Basie | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ajaaweed | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Brewmeister | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abrupt | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forza Di Oro | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starting Over | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Corot | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gins and Tins | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Another | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Halo | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Remstin | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elenzee | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zap Daddy | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Warrior | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Latin Love Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dooley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Lookbothways | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Tannuzzo | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Annette’s Humor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wailin Josie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Graces | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appletini | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Banker | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tarallucci | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Funderella | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elizabeth Nicole | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz R Bella | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | Reata’s Reward | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parlapiano | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Karen’s Gem | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zecha | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Midnitesalright | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Zandora | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moyne Spun | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alley to Calvary | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ascender | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G. T. Sonia | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Caralicious | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | True Prosperity | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Link | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ratajkowski | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Might Be | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bangle Gal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cartwheel | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maiden Beauty | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Discreet | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fierce Scarlett | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xanthique | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing the Kitty | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nay Lady Nay (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Figure It Out | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sorrentina Lemon | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Changing | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paradiso | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Johanna | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Beauty | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame It On Mom | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Petalite | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marquet Legacy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tatterazzi | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amos | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Freddymo Factor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Two Cent Tootsie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sandra’s Mine | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Winifred J | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Go Zappem | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dancing Slippers | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Happiness | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Renninas Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.