September 10, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gio Nasty One | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iowa Chrome | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | York Road | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Ranger | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bob Lee Swagger | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Me Soar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kaluga Bob | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Larch | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Bad Dude | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I R the Duke | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Rocket Science | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anothercoincidence | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Baby | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leroy Be Thy Name | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jojogottago | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Cadillac | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proper Cross | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come On Rico | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mingo Born | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Element I. | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrfect Morning | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starward | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Victory Lane | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bang | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jdub’s Jet | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Monkey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scratch N Sniff | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzle Em Hickory | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Bad Habit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chickes Done | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just in the Moment | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emily Elizabeth | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camelntime | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leesburg Lady | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Emoji This | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Definitelydazzling | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gonewiththebreeze | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tribute’s Pride | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sipan Star | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shewillamaze | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Love Shack | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizamissile | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polar’s Grace | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cocoa Parfait | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gettiup and Go | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kylies Collegefund | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Put Sarah On | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Gayle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taylor’s Beauty | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Songatmidnight | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Hunter | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’sagraciouslady | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryrysweetie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Thursday | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jessica Glitters | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Royally Adorable | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pearle de Veene | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devil Child | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Learjet | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prud as Punch | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | S C Angel | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Primary First | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Citi | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Gold | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cholula Charlie | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Blu | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Light | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Insubordination | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preacher Time | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choir Director | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Langs Legend | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madiba | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Voodayo | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Maker | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Runfastandloud | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sydney Elizabeth | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Launch Light Lucy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats Cat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Claude’s Choice | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Lisa | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Younosaythat | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Way Or No Way | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Domitia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Deuce | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valley of the Hide | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oso Ready | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dale the Bug Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runarounddancing | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovethatcause | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iowa Native | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Distant Thoughts | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mostly Sunny | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Blooded Song | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heir of Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | October Sky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.