September 9, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Known But to God | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Rush | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Obviously Dramatic | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gunsandorchids | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Buffalo Billy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Partner’s Power | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Don Camillo | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambo At the Gym | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Vision | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gourmet Delight | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Fall | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belly Dancer | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginner | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Li’l J | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Street Tail | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Cause for Surprise | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingslayer | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Iron | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Waitin On One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | He’s Got Talent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Witness | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfer Boy George | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brother Tez | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eliav | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anxious | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sr.’s Thrill | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pappa Rox | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rules | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Victoria | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Regal Quality | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slot | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Warrior | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Staynsidethecircle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schliffy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Li’l Dude L Do It | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vocab | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Astute Warrior | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloontia | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Champagne Chuck | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr Maybe | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trilogy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Neoclassic | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Midnight Harbor | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Pirate | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | County Corrections | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cozy Lover | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take Your Place | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arch Cat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Sea | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jw’strickymischief | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get the W | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Red Razzo | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forest Fire | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Juan | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boyd Crowder | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Late Breaking News | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mead Hall | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devine Dental | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gracias Adios | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Iron Lilly | 1.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Betty’s Favorite | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Edfitzatmahle’sbar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Cried a Tear | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Star Lo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.