September 8, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo Dinero | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verynsky | 0.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | San Giorgio | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All About Trump | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Show | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bronn | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Day | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Blue | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zees Empire | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bean and the Bug | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragtime Blues | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Encounter | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reign On (GB) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burn Me Twice | 1.20 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steven Decatur | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Caballero | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Pal | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Power | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Appolina | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dairy Kid | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petronilla | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Bluegrass | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Listen Linda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lil’ Chieftain | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quantum Force | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capes Hot Rocket | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Gaels | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Sentiment | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frankie Machine | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Bella Renella | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dorita’s Wild Cat | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Muchomoneybaby | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Johnnie | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Jodie Faster | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nikkileaks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Navy Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breakers Isle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | According to Buddy | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Image | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shake N Fries | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bea’s Boy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monceros | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cioppino Pasadino | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ana Lisa | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Lov | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bragging Rights | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Sunset | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Be Held | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ca Dreamer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Honey | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coilette | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rattle | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuega | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tengs Rhythm | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.