September 7, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Dime for Me | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Factor | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | And Counting | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart of the Nile | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Taste’s Legend | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Game | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jump the Tracks | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Admiral | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harrovian | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whoa Boy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Factor | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Musically | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Small Surprise | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sudden Niche | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Dessert | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Turn | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fran’s Empire | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Totally Normal | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allotment | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amers | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Krishna | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Cowgirl | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama’s Kid | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luv Is All U Need | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spectacular Storm | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Discrete Stevie B | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jase’s Aunty Aimee | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Know Pepper | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Beverly J. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flor de La Mar | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andyoushallreceive | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motion Emotion | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Message | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Vestal | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nomizar | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Royal Blue Grass | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Russian | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Elijah | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peter Alan | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rounding for Home | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Free Ricky | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Machine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Braggart | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | U S Hero | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War Union | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gryffindor | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune of War (GB) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meistermind | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Impression | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nileist | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Charlie | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Warrior | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – E.b. Johnston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smokey Image | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cruel Intention | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Bee to You | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oliver | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shades of Victory | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | California Journey | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire When Ready | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tule Fog | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spectator’s Dream | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Cat Canyon | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R B Eye | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Sammy Go | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Ship | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Joe | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lorelei’s Warrior | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Shilo | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharpshootingeorge | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cross Town | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.