September 7, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Artful Splatter | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ravenel | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Aliphant | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Tweet | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Whim | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Auriga | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Contessa | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maryland’s Miracle | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Hattie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Handfull | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Streak | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cast the Lot | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rising Perry | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makeanentrance | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Seville | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking It Lucky | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlee Fox | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Times | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Coffee Please | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speed Talks | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olive’s Bumpa | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deirdre of Legend | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win Then Grin | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Whim | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khalos Vision | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stained Class | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Race | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unstopabull Belle | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halfinthewrapper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Beguiling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Brothersledge | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back to Back | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Game | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Brahms | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beltway Bob | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Old Dominion | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deputy Ben | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardredcandy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bustoff | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hendaya | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blameitonthekiss | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sexyama | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Out | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tyche | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday Hopes | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Fat Kat | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jump for Sally | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Payntdembluesaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Street Copper | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Good Year | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cannon’s Roar | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Hot Factor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Hagen | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seville Barber | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Bridge | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paul the Waiter | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kamehameha | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bowsprit | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Earned It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Haz a Notion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Redeemed Gentleman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Martini Kid | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Last Love | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eifs | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace Isabella | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Mission | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atlantic Avenue | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friend Me Charlie | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Discretionary | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Intention | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tachyon | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Broker’s Reward | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Eyck | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Society | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasize | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jericho Marsh | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Le Gros Bill | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What a Story | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Doctor | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | High Roller | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bo Vuk | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Junction | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finbar | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spartiatis | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan’s Hunch | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Imagine Winning | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Once in a Lifetime | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kobe | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bubba Seventy Six | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Star Perfect | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manley Cross | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.