September 6, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hez Sizzling | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Rare Stoli | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chloes Got Game | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dashin Moehrig | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruising for Cash | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Dance Pilot | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ks Alabama Cartel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Darlene Shez Flying | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tf Magical Runaway | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senator Lege | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Sizzlin Effort | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jess Geaux | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Im Fast | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A C Quick | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Bella Eagle | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shake Your Coronas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Teller Im Quick | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingzridge | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The New Deal | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolis Achievements | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dl Mississippi Angel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Prize Al | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lolas Lil Ed | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silence Ta Dash | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Jesse James | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Little Vick Cash | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Heza Jess Cuervo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Risen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jets Wide Open | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twn Dalaws Kandy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Corona High | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Heart Blue | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jm Valiant Dash | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vfgo Max Go | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yo Winner | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annas T Time | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Amour | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shiny Regent | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Igotyourstreak | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Geaux Jo Go | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jbj Micah Jordan | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Black Bear | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jessfiredup | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jcrainaway | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Straight a Reeder | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purpel Rain | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nl Rebs Special Doc | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raineys Game | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rakin Somekinda Cash | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amaiahs Rain Storm | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sizzlin Werker | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allyejay | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rawhide Piloto | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Panther On the Beach | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pk Fast Kisses | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | We Gota Jewel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kc Ima Keep Running | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Openup the Bar | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brexit | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoomin Ms Perry | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tinys First Patriot | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lottacash and Corona | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tf Rebs Lil Runaway | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Liaving Coronas | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Force of Anakin | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bjs Joyful Fantasy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Bar Jewel | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Mighty Eagle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Standing At the Bar | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Will U B Mine | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Triple Vodka | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Black Secret | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Priceless Policy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Achievopiloto | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Nother Zoobilee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch My Booty | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Lil Dashin Snow | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Streakin Dash | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tetris B | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Runawaytogether | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alota Bad Habits | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Special La Jolla | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Quick First | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chasin de Stars | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corona Babie | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eyeondaprize | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jenuine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maggies Runaway | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boobookitty | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easie | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stand for the Flag | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jumpn Like Jordan | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana G Eye | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runaway Thorns | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snowplow | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sixesplayingmusic | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Jets | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Tolltac | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leaders Luna Eclipse | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Political Prize | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Azabache | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes So Valiant | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.