September 6, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Red Zinger | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Irish Valor | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Southern King | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Masterkey | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Love Jaxson | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bebe Banker | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hokulea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dreamzapper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Credence | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | E Z for You to Say | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Never Heard of Her | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Over the Map | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tales I Winit | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mosienko | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Stuy Town Baby | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bounty | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Over Thirsty | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Silky Blue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Devils Rendezvous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Strongerthanuknow | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Sassy Sarah | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Riot Worthy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archumybaby | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Forever | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moondance Joy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passporttovictory | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Nettleton | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Imperial Moment | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Turned Aside | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Verrazano First | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Now Is | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goose | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happy Danza | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of the Nile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | John Want Revenge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Sadie Lady | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Mama Mary | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Forgotten Hero | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stonefactor | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Bertranda | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sunshine Gal | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Treasure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wantagh Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | High Jingo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | First Appeal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Merlins Muse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Theaterintheround | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lovely La La | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Purrageous Dyna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Happy Place | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trial and Error | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo Cutie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand for the Flag | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Flowers | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blahnik | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Christiecat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Saint Moon | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brooke Marie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Turf War | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaceful | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dancing Vega (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen of Bermuda (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Comedy (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rose Flower (GER) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jennemily | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Courageous Girl | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | I Am Aine | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Beyond Brown | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Princess | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tornado Crossing | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mazal Eighteen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Kaza | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wall Eye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Let It Slide | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Astoria Kitten | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Adriatic Holiday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.