September 2, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lovin’ the Rush | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Me Up Brady | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovethatcause | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daahers Bully | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royally Handsome | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Rog | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlies a Charmer | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torington | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clear Creedence | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Party Girl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girls in Charge | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salty N Ruthless | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blushing Scarlett | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Gracehill | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Fury | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elizabeth Rules | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Count N Gold | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Valla | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | King Deuce | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | No Holds Barred | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Erratic Behavior | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Holt County | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zombie | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Real Men Wear Pink | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upperclassman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Thisboy’sacowboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Admiral Go | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Gospel | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paint I Ain’t | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alohlouya | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lookin for a Score | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off Again On Again | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Big Dill | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mahomes | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Bar | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Wednesday | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Damsel | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy Dave | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | John R | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Iowa Sorority S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kahului | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ranhita | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mayan Sky | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Speed | 0.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unusual Native | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beer Can | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Callhermrsgelner | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Cradle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ginger Rules | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fleetwood Shac | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chacha Real Smooth | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Running Alex’sband | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ideology | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flight Boss | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Highline | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Chad | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kauai | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Titan’s Revenge | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gio Nasty One | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Future Abundance | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Painted Canyon | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Munnycantbuymelove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hilton Magic | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scrutinizer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Basic Chance | 1.20 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape McKinzie | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sure Fire Friend | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | About Our Time | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Donna Reed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mywomanfromtokyo | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Darling | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daaherachel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zella Rose | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sister Madi | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holdthatlove | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tracy Racy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shimmering Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Fine Dream | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shweet Persuasion | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Wind | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tin Badge | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minecraft Maniac | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Net Gain | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Domikate | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molleck | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run With the Brave | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snapy Gal | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Marie | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zofia | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apple Dapple | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olive Oyl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Golden Day | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game to Play | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jessica Glitters | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Griselda | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.