September 2, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Rose | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Truffles | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic At Midnight | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh My Oh | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond of Value | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Stormy D | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cellar Door | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Shirimp | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Shero | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Me Mo My | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Macho Woman | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apples Arch | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Last Ruler | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cascade Curls | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Visual Magic | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Busy Paynter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Into Rissa | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Megan | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remember to Smile | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Diamond | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sothalis | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Durga | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starmore | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reffine | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel’s Advocate | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystica | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Hunted | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Bango | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starting Bloc | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Troutman | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ronald R (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Tough | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Senditlikechilly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ooh La La Whalah | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Curtain | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fifteen to Vegas | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saddle Bar | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Bagley | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Don’tteasethetiger | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Passing | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gobsmack | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Smartee | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Barrel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Shedaresthedevil | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warren’s Showtime | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Thousand Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Text Dont Call | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Applecross (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Overjoyed | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Acai | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Drive | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Convoluted | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flamigo Bay (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yesterdayoncemore (IRE) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mean Sophia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Stopper | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mandy | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sofi’s Gold | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shez a Grinder | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Johnnie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Grammy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Leia | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Fresh | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solar Nova | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guitty (FR) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Antigone | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Licia | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inthemunny | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colombian Gold | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takes a Village | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookintogeteven | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Convincingly | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Now Playing | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roses for Doug | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Almost a Factor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Agatha | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lucia’s Design | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | K P Whirlwind | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eight Rings | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wrecking Crew | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fore Left | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ginobili | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garth | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Court | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nucky | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defense Wins | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Der Lu | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sedamar | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Peridot | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zee Drop | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khairiya | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Courteous | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gallovie (GB) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seranitsa | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pakhet | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Italia (SPA) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devils Dance | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.