September 2, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nobody Move | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Garey Park | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Haney | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Kitten | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Show’em Pop | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kielbasa | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thunderous Gem | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Owl | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Ruler | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Konza Kandy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Wonder Girl | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Freak | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Princess Jules | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rake It Up | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lu Sea | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Edisto Island | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J P’s Gia | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hal’s Mischief | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oriental Lady | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eyes of Glory | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Recklessness | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lastfortinofamily | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schmoozin | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Not Funny | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charliecando | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edzo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andthethunderrolls | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Pali High | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Alex’s Strike | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hello America | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thenextbestthing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Prince Zar | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Vacation Lover | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ekaterinoslav | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Suprise Cat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Medium | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ronamo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Canary Islands | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fuelish Behavior | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Rhythmia | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Im the Best I Know | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full of Run | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Loyalty | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honest to Goodness | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delta Levy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volgograd | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allegiance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dragunov | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | High On Sugar | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zanforce | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pablo Del Monte | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Trappe Valley | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Simsbury | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grade One | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Midnight Blue Note | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ravens Reflection | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Notacatbutacard | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mexico Memories | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Juilana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Supermans Cape | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Pair | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Donner Pass | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Musical Interest | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sertoman | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bold Attack | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Idaho Tornado | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cloudcraze | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cup Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Rocket Ride | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Payaso | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | He’s Thunder | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roul the Ice | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Da Goose | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cats Valentine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Forthwith | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.