September 1, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mantle | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pahall Revear | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glass Bridge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pellagrino | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gran Fortress | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Schliffy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tew Ways | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legacy’s Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dead Broke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Streak | 0.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glinda | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Symphony of Love | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Princess | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Florencia | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | New Bolton Billy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Ridge Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | The Carlbrook Kid | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | March Screamer | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoskins | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Darius | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger and Jingle | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tizprocess | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape May Style | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T. C. Tomboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Known But to God | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruckus | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Allday | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Raggy Rocks | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chinese Takeout | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tempting the Tiger | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damocles Sword | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Fairlee Boys | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nonno Pietro | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joe the Boss | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Factum Love Style | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Cousin Pete | 5.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princess Areni | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deserted | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lion and the Wolf | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victoria E | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runnin On Sunshine | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Drama | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risque Express | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Incidentally | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roanie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Street Officer | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quench My Thirst | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cottonall | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six Blade | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Swap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flatexcel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wildwood Vacation | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Play Me a Memory | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ortinola | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chevy to the Levy | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promised Storm | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Special Risk | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abuela Loca | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hola Princess | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Hero | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papal Law | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kelli’s Smile | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aspen Xtreme | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flat Out Flashy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Storm Factor | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taxable Goods | 1.40 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peter G. Fox | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Refuseing | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Wise Jude | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shore Bet | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Biz Nasty | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fontana Di Oro | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lay It On the Line | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | E T’s Black Gold | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Louie’s Wish | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Finn’s Posse | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Time Buddy | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Snoopy’s Bid | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Babbo Babbo Babbo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.