September 1, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | El Tigre Terrible | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roses for Laura | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Ride | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Riding With Dino | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Want One | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Cents | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye On Tiger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Bandit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Skye Jade | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Refractometer | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Way Out | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moana Luna | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dinesen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Malibu Magic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad At Money | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Temple View | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peedie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Encoder | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Raging Whiskey | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Billy Batts | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ardenlee Star | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Kylemore | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vintage Hollywood | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Broke Away Grey | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Van Cortlandt | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Anthem | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilshire Dude | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smokin B | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bitter Ring Home | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trapper Peak | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Satori | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ooh La La Whalah | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | K P Indy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Eddy Forever | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Drasario (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | War Beast | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Media Blitz | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cool Runnings | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Show Business | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Knifes Edge | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kanderel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | The Stiff | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Michael | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | K P All Systems Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Governance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Nomizar | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Discreet Diva | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Time for Suzzie | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shes All Woman | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Staythirstymyamigo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Missmachupicchu | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Papaya | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Marrazano | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Lonna At the Top | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Klaus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Foray | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North County Guy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Touch (GB) | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colosi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wound Tight | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Klondike Creek | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Offshore | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizzarunner | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breakers Isle | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ground Attack | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Matera | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet Lips | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Response | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A G Indy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dansmetothendoflov | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scoot the Moon | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m the Hero | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbreakable | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enchanted Nile | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Neptune’s Storm | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingly | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nolde | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Parsimony | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nolo Contesto | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Visitant | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hackberry | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Originaire (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walker Stalker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mainframe Judy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Temple Bar | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eustace | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Weapon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Itsthattime | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champers | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capital Reef | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Nova | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Excellent | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matson | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Arthur | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shallow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.