August 31, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Illuminating Victory | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rf Sey What | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mswandas Dashingfast | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jess a Swinging Star | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shawee | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Dashin and Flyin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Wild Women Will | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tf Dashin Runaway | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wagon Bandit | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intriguing Runaway | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jrs Toasted Fantasy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jetsa Queen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Cajun Chick | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jw Patriot | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Jolla Fast Cash | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jjj Runaway Cartel | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Going by You | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dashlilsecrets | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Waylons Lil Shooter | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | One Famous Deoh | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prime Eagle | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tf High Kick Runaway | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jet Black Kopy Kat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Okey Dokeys Cocktail | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning First Prize | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Esplanade S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rip Tide | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot Dam Bam a Lam | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast N Famous Eagle | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lrh Mojo Rising | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Cold Leader | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gc Jetblue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vf Six Cold Coronas | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eye Jess Blue Bye U | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canaille | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Savannashighestfire | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dlj Papa Henderson | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sir Fabulous Runaway | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly Bye You | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked On Purpose | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Happy Streaker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Run Away Cache | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loves It | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneaking Suspicion | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jrs Coronas Gatorgal | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Golfo de Mexico | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rc Beautiful Game | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Down Party | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jam N Jackie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | N Ittowinit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | On Point | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Igottarampage | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mag 1 | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love You Cartel | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Bye | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mps Triple Zazoom | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Chris S Angel | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pilotos Toy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ds Five Bar Memory | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Run | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Rough | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drink Up Edna | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rd Your Personal Jet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Affair | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Black | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mama Caught Da Train | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashin for Patriot | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | One Fast Perry | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love the Way You Fly | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rh Jess Momo | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast N Gone | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coronas My Obsession | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Bar Fast | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Predator | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Famous Connie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Budman | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Apollitical Toni | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Corona Blue | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mardi Gras Paint | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firefighter Captian | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Fooling You | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dash for Coronitas | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Cash Machine | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Struttin Free | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Esperanza 1 | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.