August 31, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Distinctive B | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Restless Rambler | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spokane Eagle | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shane Zain | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Comedy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loud Mouth | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mutineer | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Music to My Ears | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justinian | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Nation | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peytons Path | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truck Salesman | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Da Kine | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Adare | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stable Genius | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northrndancrsghost | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jefe | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Hot Legs | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Queen | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Encanta | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Screening | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fantasy Heat | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moreisbetter | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dichotomy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anonymously | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ruby Trust | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Belong to Becky | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoss Cartwright | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outlaw | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bea’s Boy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The White Shadow | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Image | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lagoon Macaroon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suances Secret | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eagle Song (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Carnivorous | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gum Tree Lane | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Federal Case | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Forza | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ocean Fury | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crystal Tribe (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Island (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Kitty | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soberano (FR) | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Castle Gate | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fait Accompli | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | An American Jet | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Suite Alonso | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon and Water | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Severin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Do Not Swipe Left | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight in Maui | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champion Deputy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak to the World | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artcrilic | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – John C. Mabee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vasilika | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juliet Foxtrot (GB) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quebec | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toinette | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ahimsa | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paved | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meal Ticket | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hydrogen | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backshot | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whirl Candy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Among Men | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Theorem | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Footer | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Code | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zimba Warrior | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leucothea | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bast | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inspiressa | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Sound | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Xena | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Comical | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powerfulattraction | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lazy Daisy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cool Your Jets | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fredrikstad | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loaded Joe | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play Money | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jamming Eddy | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fravel | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bud Knight | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Parking Here | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Endless Tale | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Watch the Dip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cafe Clara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.