August 30, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Christian C | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fascilitator | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | And Won | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surf Shack | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Cactus | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Rover | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Bye Greg | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Recount | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savage Battle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Commish | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grey Mask | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Do Not Enter | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Riv | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Vo | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear N Convincing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Christmas Cookie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citali | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Do Guess Again | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gray Mensch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Cab | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twin Turbo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Canihaveitlikethat | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dive Deep | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Go Girolamo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skeeterskeets | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Edzo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Country Jazz | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Huey Attack | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mucha Mezquina | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Serenade | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Annie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Diamond | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blues Mary | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel’s Cut | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snattered | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lavina | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lillet | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Mischief | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Moment Is Now | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In the Chamber | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Tiger | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mountain | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Dinner | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timingiseverything | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Franklin County | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ferlin Husky | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dumbmark | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fort Ridge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Way Home | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Run Your Race | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fist of Rage | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hallie’s Hero | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready’s Mission | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shakurr | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | J Z’s Last Try | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tommytoshort | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Last Spring | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cee R Bee | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Fire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wellfield | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party On Dude | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purr’s Along | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patch’s Lugh | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.