Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 29, 2019

August 29, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Speed Star 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Fallen Leaf 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Same Kinda Crazy 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Distinctly Blue 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Taylor’s in Orbit 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 R Happy Ending 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Baccarat Fashion 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Just Kidding 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Empire Power 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fundy’s Tide 1.80 4.3 8-1
2 2 Gray Beau 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Starship Aramis 6.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sansa 1.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Party Dress 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bunny Princess 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Lady Marchella 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 One Hot Drama 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Alafia 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mi Cuaima 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 5 Rainfall 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 4 Galileo’s Affair 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 3 Vinyardnina 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 2 Madison Blues 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 My Gal Lollipop 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Beach Dreaming 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Samurai’sfirstlady 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Reagan’s Odyssey 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Big Darling 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Venezuelan Forever 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Delta Bluesman 1.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Mr. Kisses 1.80 2.9 5-1
4 4 Sherpa 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tempter 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 King Wildcat 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Avast Matey 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Hierro Colado (VEN) 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shuddawuddacudda 1.60 4.1 8-1
4 3 Doctor Dub 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Goldenlineof 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Slick Star 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Unequal 4.50 5 9-1
6 5 Segismundo 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Little Guy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Where Ya Goin Owen 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 6 Day Link 30.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Uncork the Bottle 2.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Fayez 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Friendly Wager 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 He’s Lucky 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Power Punch 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Pretty Chitu 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Lovely Luvy 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 6 Pillango 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Itsherluckyday 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 3 Valley Date 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 4 Hera 3.50 6.9 13-1
4 2 Hotty Toddy 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Lady Nina 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cassidy’s Smile 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sweet Story 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Princess Latina 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Durlyn 1.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Chiqui the Gray 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Jolie Bay 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Vicky Apple 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Blazing Brooke 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Creative Award 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 West Horizen 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Swagger 2.00 2.9 5-1
9 6 Trev 0.60 3.9 7-1
2 1 G Q Coverup 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Travy Boy 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 7 Starship Apollo 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 3 Visions of You 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Dublin Tinker 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Sublime Appeal 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Our Independence 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kantharos’ Image 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.