August 29, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Contessa Ruby | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volcom Royalty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Louisiana Girl | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Fast Eye | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Key Needed | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Makemelikaferarri | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unstopable Moment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adoremycorona | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eye Like Corona | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tres Seis Flare | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Really Tempting | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A C Quick | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kingslayer | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Lite My Fire | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sirhezarunaway | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Dashing With Courage | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thisbugsforyou T | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Motion | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Storm Hunter | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | First in My Class | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reba Is Crowded | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Lil Justin | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Corona Toast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Strut for Petes Sake | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make Mine Separate | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaking My Baby | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jess for Rogue | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Im a Jess Yall | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kresent Wrench | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agouti Bay | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kk Cougar Cartel | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jf Gotsomebling | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Chuvi Duvi Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cant Catchacorona | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Toy Guns | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Super Sonic Patriot | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Rowdy Cartel | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thinkin Man | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Corona Down Perry | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jetblack Heartattack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apollitical Habit | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle 214 | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Win a Lota | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ec Mr Glory | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heza Streakin Cash | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hfr Rogue Nation | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boyz Black Jet | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Really a Doll | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Straw Berri Patriot | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vodka Makes Me Rowdy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fly Game Fly | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sizzle Baby Sizzle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Piloto Habit | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brileys Magic | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jrs Runaway Princess | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Caliente | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sizzlin At Midnight | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Dreamer | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jus to Kool | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosies Corona | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tdz Dash of Jes | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Oh Shez Awesome | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shez Game | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Five Bell Cartel | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coronas Attitude | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victorias Caliente | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomin Dash | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shamely Divided | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Codeine Crazy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dlj Corona Special | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Donkey Kong B | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ajs Streakin Fast | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessa Touch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U R Jess Blue | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Streakin Past | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Bar | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chicos Cartel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strikability | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shake Em Ike | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy But Fast | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tdz Sir Sash | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Piloto Gee | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Fancy Corona | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jet Tempted | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tailors Jess | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Valiant King | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ll Maleddia | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Knight | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Boss Aw | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Courage | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.