August 29, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Denman’s Call | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sigur Ros | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buckys Pick | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Facts Matter | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Top Brass | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cats Blame | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concur | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | K P Dreamin | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gingham | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bristol Bayou | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paige Anne | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tacocat | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cherokee Maiden | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Included | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolci | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best Two Minutes | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Turf | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excavation | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rick’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Puriano | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Dinero | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe Jackson | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Forever Juanito | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Start a Runnin | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zeke | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Musketier | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brimstoned | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zip the Monkey | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lifeline | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play Hard to Get | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Implicitly | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Biddy Duke | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goveness Sheila | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vannavanna Bo Bana | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Coil and Strike | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Goddess | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kuda Huraa | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | K P Cats Wild | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Secret Alibi | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Regal | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fran’s Empire | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Sunset | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sudden Niche | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shallow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Meso | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senoradiablo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swing Thoughts | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophie Antoinette | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Muthhila (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Stepper | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Graces (GB) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smiling Rose | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Algorhythmic | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Dorian | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wishful | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruby Bradley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quit Kvetching | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamy Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Takethediamondlane | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speakerofthehouse | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seeking Refuge | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volubile | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takeo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Camp | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afleeting Life | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R B Eye | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chase and Colorado | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Montana Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Boyson | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Spectator’s Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.