August 26, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bad Nana | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Sweet Exchange | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savannah Roxanna | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scoreearlyandoften | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Tough Angel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Groton St Scout | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Thirsty | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mochkla Mochkla | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baby Bam Bam | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Kabikeka | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leeds Castle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Foxy’s Edge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blaze of Joy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Coins | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Calypso Ghost | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Susi Sole | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rag Top | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Charge It | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Cat Gee | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Muskoka | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supergirl Power | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misdriven | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Accuser | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blarp | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Odlum | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pendrell Moon | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Potomac River | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shan Dian Kia | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Square | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dreaming of Frank | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Vow’s Son | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Springers Point | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hirschbein | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Revolving Love | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucha Muchacha | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Premier Justice | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Bop a Lola | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Style | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Survivor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Anne | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steely Band | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Super Freak | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Setubal | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Diva | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daria’s Angel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All Good Times | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Excess | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Avocado | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Community Watch | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lost Scroll | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just a Whim | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Architect | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Lak | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rattle the Stars | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dancing Contessa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pride Leader | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Degrees of Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Smoochin Candy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Eppur Si Muove | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | RB RICH LYKE ME | 0.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 6 | THESS IS AWESOME | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | RB HOT DATE | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | LAZUR HESS | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | COLORS IN MOTION | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | BELLFASTT | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | BIG CHAY | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.