August 25, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Red Fiction | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Strike | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Power of Intention | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valuable Pillow | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Byebye Byebye | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Google It | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Water Polo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Identity | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Beat | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bay of Rum | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Areocentric | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hesathriller | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Fever | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unclaimedtreasure | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seventh Wonder | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Diffley | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amnesty | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa D | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Newfie Express | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Aces High | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keep Going | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Des Bois | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watters | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victorious Bear | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decisive Victory | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Down Below | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hardy Candy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J M R Silent Lake | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Final Turn | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zoological | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artie My Boy | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Rhapsody | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Deal | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Different Days | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muskoka Giant | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maritime Magic | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | First Spring | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheek to Cheek | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Executive Sight | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desolator | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timeskip | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbounded Spirit | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Laser | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Occasional View | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Distinct Passion | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Goodoldhockeygame | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Badjeros Boy | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gaultier (FR) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Selling Out | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Front Nine | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Black Storm | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaigun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Seaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katie Baby | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Sunday | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alnilah | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devine Mischief | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Medal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now Play Nice | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Nile | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Slam | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rebellion’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Synergized | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easter Gold | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coolshade | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | We Take Checks | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope to Heaven | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Catch | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roaring Forties | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macho Dancer | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lyrical Note | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Knights | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Talbot | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leonard’s Bay | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pipers Warrior | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Bo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.