Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 24, 2019

August 24, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Express 1.20 1.8 3-1
6 6 Lady Warrior 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Daneira 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Lucky At Justice 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Well Maid 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 American Biz 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Mary Jeans Wildcat 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Peppermint Ice 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Golds’way 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Johnny Chadda 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Suprise Cat 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Tuff Attack 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Mister Charming 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Endgame 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Boogy Soks 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Bank Man 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Silent Fame 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Big Al 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Greeleys Ice 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Offlee Fun 3.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Demand Ransom 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Baba Tobi 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Token Vow 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dance 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Ginger Snap Dance 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Buywon Getwon 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Chrome Attack 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Isabelle’s Joy 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Paulette 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 House of Cortez 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Peppermint Crunch 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Crow Moon 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mummy Troll 3.00 3 6-1
7 6 Intrysting 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 McLance 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Portico 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 7 Trumpified 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Round Hill 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Alpha Boy 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Contraction 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Justenufftuff 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Striking Heir 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Workingforaliving 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Colonel Fred 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Al Taweel 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Campioni 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Hide the Evidence 30.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Run Tappy 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 Roar of the Lion 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Speared 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sacred Legacy 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Yourdecisionotmine 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Landing Gear 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Pamir 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Mr. Papillon 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Forgot to Forget 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Kielbasa 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Yabba Dabba Dude 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Foggy Albion 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bookie’s Blues 2.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Majestic Day 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 The Dogmen 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Off to the Beach 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 The Kahn 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 V Man 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Menlo Park 8.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Illume 30.00 8 15-1
12 12 Musket Hunter 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Roul the Ice 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.